For example, most of the bigger steeplechasers will not enjoy running on ground faster than good as their size means that their joints absorb more weight when the going beneath their feet is harder. The prevailing underfoot conditions are very important when assessing a horse’s chances of winning a race. Obviously there is a lot of luck in the race but the higher rated horses do give a better chance of getting a good run for your money. What we get is 10 horses that have the characteristics to give them a good chance of getting round and finishing strongly. Weight carried with higher weights being a disadvantage especially in more testing conditions Runs over the National fences, runs over courses with big fencesĪge (being under 8 or over 11 is often a negative) The predictor takes into account a number of factual factors such as the number of times a horse has won over 3 miles, the number of falls, the weight it is carrying, the type of ground it likes and its age. For many years this was done with spreadsheets and then in 2003 became part of this site. After having the 1-2-3 in the 1990 Grand national & then the winner the year after I compiled a list of the main factors that I was using to make the selections.
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